Application of several artificial intelligence models and ARIMAX model for forecasting drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index

Application of the ARIMA Models in Drought Forecasting Using the Standardized Precipitation Index

The standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used to quantify the classification of drought in the Guanzhong Plain, China. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were developed to fit and forecast the SPI series. Most of the selected ARIMA models are seasonal models (SARIMA). The forecast results show that the forecasting power of the ARIMA models increases with the incre...

Drought monitoring using deciles index standardized precipitation index and effective Drought index in tehran province iran

Drought Analysis for Kuwait Using Standardized Precipitation Index

Implementation of adequate measures to assess and monitor droughts is recognized as a major matter challenging researchers involved in water resources management. The objective of this study is to assess the hydrologic drought characteristics from the historical rainfall records of Kuwait with arid environment by employing the criterion of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). A wide range of...

Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Drought Vulnerability using the Standardized Precipitation Index (Case study: Semnan Province, Iran)

This study was conducted to identify drought event and its emerging regions in Markazi desert, Iran with focus onSemnan province in a 30 years statistical period. In this research, 61 stations having adequate data selected and usedafter extracting annual statistic from monthly and daily data. Standardized precipitation index values for each stationwere calculated and classified. The Results hav...

the use of appropriate madm model for ranking the vendors of mci equipments using fuzzy approach

abstract nowadays, the science of decision making has been paid to more attention due to the complexity of the problems of suppliers selection. as known, one of the efficient tools in economic and human resources development is the extension of communication networks in developing countries. so, the proper selection of suppliers of tc equipments is of concern very much. in this study, a ...